Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.001016 0.001158 0.001301 0.001454 0.001614 0.001775 0.001950
2025-11-30 0.000841 0.001050 0.001265 0.001504 0.001757 0.002017 0.002304
2025-12-07 0.000661 0.000915 0.001186 0.001493 0.001826 0.002173 0.002560
2025-12-14 0.000497 0.000779 0.001093 0.001457 0.001859 0.002284 0.002764
2025-12-21 0.000401 0.000710 0.001065 0.001485 0.001957 0.002461 0.003034
2025-12-28 0.000289 0.000607 0.000990 0.001454 0.001984 0.002557 0.003212
2026-01-04 0.000214 0.000540 0.000949 0.001458 0.002046 0.002687 0.003425
2026-01-11 0.000144 0.000468 0.000898 0.001443 0.002083 0.002787 0.003602
2026-01-18 0.000090 0.000407 0.000852 0.001433 0.002122 0.002886 0.003775
2026-01-25 0.000035 0.000320 0.000768 0.001369 0.002095 0.002908 0.003861
2026-02-01 0.000008 0.000265 0.000717 0.001344 0.002111 0.002976 0.003995
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000223 0.000683 0.001336 0.002145 0.003063 0.004148
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000174 0.000642 0.001334 0.002203 0.003199 0.004382
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000153 0.000644 0.001388 0.002331 0.003417 0.004711
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000109 0.000601 0.001381 0.002385 0.003550 0.004945
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000065 0.000543 0.001348 0.002406 0.003642 0.005132
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000046 0.000530 0.001377 0.002501 0.003822 0.005418
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000018 0.000479 0.001348 0.002522 0.003913 0.005600
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000005 0.000453 0.001353 0.002584 0.004050 0.005835
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.000417 0.001339 0.002621 0.004156 0.006033
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.000385 0.001329 0.002660 0.004265 0.006233
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.000324 0.001267 0.002630 0.004289 0.006332
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000288 0.001243 0.002648 0.004368 0.006494